Risk Assessment

This series examines what risk scores represent, how tools are built and evaluated, and how to interpret their outputs in real decision contexts.

The goal is straightforward: make risk assessment methods easier to understand—and easier to evaluate critically.

Modules

Start Here

Why Risk Scores Are Misunderstood

An introduction to a basic but often overlooked issue: not all risk scores mean the same thing, even when they appear similar.

In Development

Interpreting Risk Scores

What risk scores actually represent—and how to interpret them in practice.

Coming soon
In Development

Building and Validating Tools

How risk assessment tools are constructed, tested, and evaluated.

Coming soon
In Development

Understanding Performance Metrics

What common metrics like AUC measure—and what they can obscure.

Coming soon
In Development

Use in Practice

How risk assessment tools are used in real decision contexts, including pretrial and corrections.

Coming soon